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Henri de GrossouvreEssayist on European geopolitics
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File 01

Nice, the Paris-Rome axis and the Mediterranean

An argument made in 2021, published in 2026 — first in Italian, then in French and English.

The argument

France and Italy together account for close to half the Union's budget. In 2021 they signed a treaty that nothing obliges them to leave dormant. And between Genoa and Marseille they have a city, founded by Greeks, that spent more centuries Italian than French.

There is a lazy way of talking about the Franco-Italian pairing: say it could replace the Franco-German one, and stop there. That is not what this file does.

What the argument actually claims

Henri de Grossouvre advances three distinct propositions, and they need to be kept apart.

The first is an observation about Germany. Since reunification, he writes, the Franco-German reflex has weakened — not out of ill will, but because Berlin has pursued its own interests. He documented this elsewhere, in his 2024 analysis for Revue Conflits, where he describes a Germany that outsourced its energy to Russia, its security to the United States and part of its growth to China.

The second is an institutional proposal. The Quirinal Treaty, signed in 2021, occupies for the Franco-Italian pairing the place the Élysée Treaty occupies for the Franco-German one. It exists, it is in force, and it is barely used. It is an available resource, not a hypothesis.

The third is an argument about capabilities. An axis is measured not by its declarations but by what it lets two countries do together: Mediterranean routes, defence industry, energy, digital infrastructure, capital. France and Italy jointly control close to half the Union’s budget. That is executive weight, not symbolism.

Why Nice

The choice of Nice is not decorative. Founded by the Greeks in the third century BC, then Roman, then Piedmontese, the city remained culturally Italian for several centuries before its annexation to France in 1860. It is, strictly speaking, a point of contact — and the author consistently looks for points of contact rather than centres.

The op-ed rests on two local dynamics: the role of Éric Ciotti in strengthening ties with Liguria, and the leadership of the Mediterranean University Centre by Professor Bernard Asso. These belong to the author’s argument; this site reports them, it does not endorse them.

An argument older than its moment

What gives this file its solidity is chronological. In November 2021, in an interview with the Club Italie-France, Henri de Grossouvre was already arguing that France and Italy share more common interests in financial matters than either does with Germany and the northern countries. He named space and transport as priority fields for cooperation, and stated that Rome remains the spiritual and cultural heart of Europe.

Five years before the op-ed. This is therefore not a position adopted in the light of events: it is a position built, and then published once it had become legible.

Italy was already in the vanguard

One detail often goes unnoticed, and it is worth pointing out. When Henri de Grossouvre describes, in late 2019 in the Revue Politique et Parlementaire, the political vanguard that could carry European strategic autonomy, he gives the list: France, Germany, Italy, Belgium, Luxembourg.

Italy appears there twelve years after the Forum Carolus’s first collective work, where the proposed vanguard brought together France, Germany, Belgium, Luxembourg, Hungary and Austria — without it. Between the two, something changed in his analysis: Italian industrial and budgetary weight becomes an asset rather than a risk.

What the axis would have to do

The op-ed avoids a wish list. It names five fields on which a Paris-Rome axis would be measured.

Mediterranean routes first, because an axis that does not control its supply lines is only a declaration. Then the defence industry, where both countries have bases capable of joint programmes. Energy, where interconnections and gas terminals already trace a Franco-Italian geography few people look at. Digital infrastructure, which connects directly to the sovereignty-technologies file. And capital, where the author argued as early as 2021 that the two countries share more common interests with each other than either does with Germany and the northern countries.

None of those five fields is symbolic. That is characteristic of his method: an axis is judged by what it lets you do, not by what it lets you celebrate.

The underlying political model

One clarification is needed, because it is often lost. The framework claimed here is not federal: it is a Europe of nations in the Gaullist tradition, built on concrete cooperation between states rather than on a transfer of sovereignty. That was already the explicit framework of Paris, Berlin, Moscow in 2002. The axis changes direction; the method does not.

Landmarks

Timeline

  1. 1860Nice is annexed to France. Greek at its founding, then Roman, then Piedmontese, the city had been culturally Italian for several centuries.
  2. 1963The Élysée Treaty institutionalises the Franco-German pairing. It will long serve as the only model of bilateral cooperation in Europe.
  3. 2021The Quirinal Treaty is signed between France and Italy. In November of that year, Henri de Grossouvre sets out in an interview the case for a Franco-Italian rapprochement.
  4. 2026The Nice op-ed appears on 7 August in Italian in Le Cronache Lucane, on the 8th in French and on the 12th in English in Le Diplomate.
5

Publications in this file

Op-ed7 August 2026

Nice: The Revival of a Key Strategic Role for France and Italy in Europe (opens in a new tab)

Le Cronache Lucane · Le Diplomate

The most recent argument: making Nice the pivot of a Paris-Rome axis. The author grounds the case in the city's long history — Greek foundation, Roman then Piedmontese inheritance, culturally Italian until the annexation of 1860 — and in the 2021 Quirinal Treaty, which he places, for the Franco-Italian pairing, where the Élysée Treaty stands for the Franco-German one. The partnership he describes is measured in capabilities: Mediterranean routes, defence industry, energy, digital infrastructure, capital. The text first appeared in Italian, in Le Cronache Lucane on 7 August 2026 — translated by Alessandro Sansoni — and then in French and English in Le Diplomate.

Interview15 November 2021

Interview — France and Italy: More Common Ground Than Is Assumed (opens in a new tab)

Club Italie-France

An interview in which he argues that France and Italy share more common interests in financial matters than either does with Germany and the northern countries, and names space and transport as priority fields for cooperation. He states that Rome remains the spiritual and cultural heart of Europe. Five years before the Nice op-ed: the Paris-Rome argument is not a reaction to the news.

BookApril 2002

Paris, Berlin, Moscow: The Path to Independence and Peace (opens in a new tab)

Éditions L'Âge d'Homme

Henri de Grossouvre's first book, prefaced by General Pierre Marie Gallois, the man who persuaded de Gaulle to give France a nuclear deterrent. Within a Europe of nations, the essay argues for a strategic partnership between a restored Franco-German core and Russia, covering energy, security, space and the mastery of advanced technology. Less than a year after publication, the joint French, German and Russian opposition to the Iraq war put “Paris-Berlin-Moscow” on front pages worldwide.

Article30 December 2019

From Brégançon to NATO's London Summit: A New Strategic Line for France and Europe? (opens in a new tab)

Revue Politique et Parlementaire, Libre opinion

A reading of the August 2019 Brégançon meeting as the start of a strategic shift. The article develops two lines: re-engaging Russia as a European power, and forming a political vanguard — France, Germany, Italy, Belgium, Luxembourg — in the service of strategic autonomy, in defence as in technology. It deals explicitly with Brexit and British defence cooperation. One formulation stands out: Europeans have become the object rather than the subject of international relations.

Article15 March 2024

War in Ukraine: Germany's Double Game (opens in a new tab)

Revue Conflits

The author argues that Germany pursues a contradictory strategy: public support for Ukraine — Patriot, Leopard — alongside discreetly maintained channels to Moscow. He contends that Berlin outsourced its energy to Russia, its security to the United States and part of its growth to China, and that the Zeitenwende owes more to economic calculation and to Zivilmacht than to geopolitical ambition.