In April 2008, at Bucharest, a Franco-German move coordinated with Moscow denied Ukraine and Georgia official candidate status for NATO. That same year, Henri de Grossouvre read the episode as showing America's relative geopolitical decline.
This is the most checkable file on the site, because it deals with dated events whose sequel is known.
Bucharest, April 2008
The largest summit in NATO’s history is held in Bucharest. President Bush opens it by setting Ukrainian and Georgian membership as a priority for Washington. A Franco-German move, coordinated with Moscow, denies them official candidate status.
Henri de Grossouvre publishes his analysis the same year, in Revue Défense Nationale. The journal’s official English summary gives the conclusion: the episode is a historic event illustrating America’s relative geopolitical decline.
It matters where that phrase comes from. It is not a retrospective restatement by this site: it is the text the journal published in 2008, in its English version, and which remains consultable online.
What the reading implied
Two consequences follow from the article, and both belong to the register of proposal.
The first is that Europe has more room for initiative than it grants itself. Bucharest demonstrates it: a coordinated Franco-German position produced an outcome contrary to the stated American priority.
The second is that this room only means something if it is organised. That is the thread he pulls the following year with Pierre Pascallon, holding that Greater Europe exists from the Atlantic to the Urals, that it therefore includes European Russia, and that it falls to the OSCE to carry the question of pan-European security — within an international conference still to be convened.
London, December 2019
Eleven years later, in Revue Politique et Parlementaire, he reads the sequence running from the August 2019 Brégançon meeting to NATO’s London summit as the start of a French strategic shift.
Two lines are developed: re-engaging Russia as a European power, with a view to a common home from Lisbon to Vladivostok; and forming a political vanguard — France, Germany, Italy, Belgium, Luxembourg — in the service of strategic autonomy, in defence as in technology.
The article deals explicitly with Brexit and British defence cooperation: the United Kingdom’s departure from the Union is read there not as a loss for European defence but as a reconfiguration to be organised. One phrase sums up the diagnosis: Europeans have become the object rather than the subject of international relations.
2026: the institutional question
The sequence finds an unexpected extension in June 2026, with a collective op-ed carrying thirty-two signatures. The subject is no longer NATO as an organisation, but the procedure by which a state commits itself.
Nine measures are put forward: constitutional reinforcement of Article 35, a legal definition of co-belligerence, a mandatory parliamentary debate on vital interests, and the possible use of a referendum for major strategic commitments. This is applied constitutional law, co-signed with parliamentarians, general officers and academics.
The United States in this corpus
The transatlantic relationship is never handled through the lens of hostility. It is handled through the lens of asymmetry: who decides, who follows, and on what terms an ally stops being a client. That is a question of the balance of power, not of sides.